David Hume & His Definitive Refutation of Miracles Believability
Nature works in a predictable way - a cause and effect way. You don't cook
porridge for it to turn into custard. If it did that would be a supernatural
event - a miracle. Religion has miracles such as the Virgin Mary having a baby
without a sperm.
David Hume said that we perceive that nature works a certain way. We argue by
induction how we expect nature to work. We all know from our own induction and
that of others that the sun will rise tomorrow. If somebody comes along and that
person is the top person for being right in the world and says different we have
the majority induction against his. So we can rationally ignore what he says. He
would be talking about a miracle, he supposedly has miracle knowledge, for it is
against our experience of how things work. The common induction and his are not
equally important. His is inferior in value. Thus it is better to surmise that
the miracle is a mistake in some way and not real.
And his testimony is undermined by other common inductions. Those are:
that honest people can suddenly lie sometimes for insane or trivial reasons
if you verify that the supernatural happens then you have
no way of telling if it is at work a little or a lot so you never know if the
coffee you made actually supernaturally ceased to exist and the coffee you have
is another one - a replica
that supernatural claims can be made easily when they cannot be tested
that people make mistakes
that people can have illusions
that people seem to have their own truth
that people have false memories
that evidence can conflict or seem to.
And if nature changes so that a statue seems to bleed you never know if the
statue really bled for you don't know what miracle caused you to see the change
- was it a miracle vision in your head or a miraculously implanted false memory?
A miracle then is not important enough to believe for you can only guess what
the miracle was. The miracle and what is seen during it are two totally separate
things. Several pieces of evidence for who Jack the Ripper was mean nothing if
you don't know which piece is relevant. Same principle.
Evidence is what you get when you assume there is no supernatural interference.
Evidence against a murderer would be no good if ghosts or gods or angels could
tamper with it. Evidence for the supernatural is by default impossible and is
self-contradictory.
The Christians say all should believe in miracles if the evidence is good
enough. But that is contradictory when evidence is presuming miracles don't
happen and no supernatural tampering has taken place!
A miracle by definition should be hard to believe so you need sufficient
evidence. The Church says, "If we refuse to believe trustworthy miracle tales we
must ask ourselves if we should believe any testimony to anything!" That is
ultimately the only argument for belief in miracles there is. There are things
we cannot be expected to believe without hard evidence regardless of how good
the testimony is. If miracles and magic don't fall into that category then
nothing does. If we cannot be expected to believe in them, people must not
promote belief in them. It demeans us.
All Hume said was that testimony is not enough to establish a miracle. He did
not say miracles were impossible but that we cannot be sensible if we believe in
them and the reason is that you have only the word of alleged eyewitnesses. The
implication is that believing in one miracle is irrational but believing in many
is far far worse!
Hume & the Ice and the Prince
We take it that x is a law of nature. So if we follow Hume we will conclude that
any miracle that suspends or contradicts that law is unlikely to be true though
possibly true. The reason is that nature works in a regular way. It works like
it has laws.
Religion along with the rest of the world says that science decides that
something is a law of nature. Then it can happen that science finds things that
contradict this law. Then science will revise or modify or even scrap its view
of the law. Religion says that Hume's logic about nature working as if it were
regular, forbids science to change its view about what is or isn't a natural law
just as it forbids belief in miracles. But science is not saying that a natural
law is not a law. It is merely saying it has made mistakes in identifying what
is a natural law. It would be crazy to say that if science used to think
lightning was caused by mirrors and had to revise this view that science should
be open to miracles. Science correcting its own scientific errors about natural
law has nothing to do with proving that natural laws allow for miracles. It's
not the same. The fact that errors can be made about what is a natural law only
shows that there are such things as natural laws.
Science verifies that there are general laws. It is the more specific laws that
it may get wrong. If it makes mistakes about these laws, it will discover them
by finding that the specific laws do not really fit the general or overall laws.
Science then revising and changing is demanded by Hume's thinking - it is not
excluded.
Hume stated that if the Queen died and rose again he would consider a
far-fetched natural explanation such as a conspiracy to be correct. Miracle
claims even if true force this suspicion on all involved. They violate the
argument that faith should be harmless on the mundane and human level. They sow
the seeds of sectarianism.
If you say it is a miracle, it follows that the next view in line is the
conspiracy view. If it's not a miracle then it's a conspiracy. Even if you accept
the miracle view, you are still giving indirect support to the conspiracy view.
You are taking a step towards accusing. You are partly ready to accuse.
Hume thinks that a magical explanation would be the worst explanation and even
more far-fetched. Notice he does not say it's an impossible explanation but only
an unlikely one.
Christians have started saying that anybody who does not allow for the
possibility that the evidence can establish the credibility of anything be it a
spaceship from another solar system landing in Jerusalem or whatever is being
unfair. They want us to allow for the possibility that the evidence for the
miraculous resurrection of Jesus means he really did miraculously rise. Evidence
can mislead. But asserting that it is possible Jesus really rose is not the same
as believing that he did and is thin. It is really agnosticism. It will mean
that maybe Jesus did not die on the cross at all but came around in the tomb and
found himself miraculously healed except for the scars in his hands and feet and
side and only thought he rose again. The possibilities are endless. Belief in
the miraculous means you might have evidence (hypothetically) for a miracle but
you cannot know or believe what exactly the miracle was. I would not trust a
person who claims that sceptics of miracles are ignoring the evidence for them
when this person claims to know exactly what the miracle was. Pity Hume didn't
use this argument!
Hume said that a miracle is a violation of past experience. This experience
tells us that princes do not turn into toads. A miracle is an event that
violates this experience. Thus it is always more likely that past experience is
right and that a miracle claim is wrong or based on error. Is it the case then
that a prince in scorching India who has never seen ice and does not believe in
it though he has heard of it is actually right not to believe? It would seem to
many that the prince is being logical but he is wrong. They would see logic as
misleading unless you admit that it is not all about what you have experienced.
But in fact we know from experience that we have no reason to question most of
what others say they experienced. This seems to open the door to miracles for
people say they have experienced them.
Hume tried to deal with the problem of a prince in a tropical land who has never
seen ice. He said if we never see miracles then we are validated in believing
that they do not happen. The same would seem to be true of the prince and the
ice. The prince would seem to be validated by not believing in ice.
Hume said that the existence of ice can be sufficiently verified because it is
part of normal human experience. He means the prince can go to a land where
there is winter or get enough testimony to its existence. Hume here is
acknowledging the principle that it is rational to try and believe only what you
have evidence for but as belief is not certainty it can be wrong.
Incredibly the Christians seize on the point about the prince seeking sufficient
evidence to argue, "If Hume really believes that enough testimony will do, he
has to admit that enough testimony to the resurrection of Jesus may exist and be
enough to make it sensible to believe in the resurrection".
It would only apply to the resurrection if the resurrection was not
supernatural. There is a world of difference between talking about a man rising
by God's power from the dead and some natural mystery in a far away land. One is
supernatural and one is not. Simple.
Hume does admit that there could be enough evidence for the resurrection but it
has not been found. He merely says that there isn't enough evidence for the
resurrection as there would be for the ice.
There are hard facts that show that ice exists. There are no such facts for the
resurrection - all you have is testimony not hard facts. If the prince is
gullible to believe in the ice even if it does exist, he is far more gullible if
he believes in the resurrection of Christ.
The prince knows that nature can do things he has never seen so it is perfectly
rational for him to take those who have seen the ice at their word. He knows
that he had to believe as a child that the chicken becomes edible when boiled
though he never looked in the pot. It is incorrect that he was being asked to
believe in the ice against his past experience for his past experience says it
could be possible.
The ice problem is a natural problem but the resurrection goes into the
supernatural. The Christians' point is irrelevant - it is the natural we are
talking about and they are on about the supernatural.
It never occurred to Hume to state that if the prince sees water taking
different forms such as fluid and steam then it is natural to suppose it can
turn into ice too. So the prince does not need to go to a country in winter or
get enough testimony. Christians like this thought because they work out an
analogy from it. Here it is, "We may suppose that water can turn to ice without
evidence that it can just because we see it becoming fluid and steam and getting
hot and cold. Then surely we can suppose that as water is not alive turns into
life so what was alive can live again as in the resurrection of Jesus." They are
confusing the supernatural and the natural. It is as silly as saying the amazing
beauty of a butterfly proves that Mary is miraculously appearing or may be
appearing at Medjugorje. It is as silly as saying that if you trust your wife
and you find 100 dollars has vanished from your wallet and only she could have
taken it you may conclude that it just miraculously dematerialised! Life cannot
go on if we start making assumptions like that. It shows no respect for people
or life. And Christians like to be selective in who gets respect - the Hindu
miracle worker will be dismissed as a hoaxer or a witch while the Christian one
is a saint.
The Christians cannot deal with any of the evidence against the rationality of
believing in miracles. And they know it.
Hume was right. The induction that men stay dead overrides any induction that
Jesus rose. This bit is hypothetical: "We would settle for saying both
inductions could be equal so we don't know which one to choose. We do know.
Choose the best fit for your experience."
Restrict the meaning of miracle to an event that just
happens and has no apparent natural cause. That gets Hume out of
objections such as that a prince who does not see ice should not believe in it.
It is not the same thing - the objection is deliberately off topic.
It is irrational and superstitious to believe in miracles.